OHSU economist shares how he tackles the uncertainty of omicron
January 06, 2022
Since early in the pandemic, Peter Graven, a health economist at the Oregon Health & Science University, has been trying to predict how COVID-19 will affect Oregonians and their health care system.
The director of the university’s Office of Advanced Analytics likes to call the forecasts his “best guess,” but says his job is to “strangle” it with real-life medical and epidemiological data until it has a good chance of coming true.
Of late, his weekly predictions have gained new prominence as officials, providers and members of the public prepare for the new, fast-spreading omicron variant of the coronavirus.